Statistical experts Sporting Index have predicted every Premier League team’s projected finishing position this season and their findings make for pleasant reading for Brighton fans.
As per Brighton & Hove Independent, the betting firm has calculated an anticipated points tally for each top-flight club for its remaining fixtures in 2019/20 to produce an overall final table, with the Seagulls predicted to very narrowly retain their Premier League status.
Sporting Index’s metric predicts Graham Potter’s team to garner 10 points from their remaining nine games to finish in 16th place on 39 points, level with West Ham and Aston Villa but with a strong enough goal difference to survive. [via Brighton & Hove Independent]
As things stand, Brighton are in 15th place on 29 points, two clear of the relegation zone. However, they are the only team in the Premier League without a win from their last five matches in the competition – indeed, they are still waiting on their first league victory in 2020, having last won against Bournemouth at the end of December (as per TransferMarkt)
Therefore, the break may have come at the perfect time for the Seagulls given their stagnant form, although their final nine matches of the season present a very stern challenge. Their only remaining fixture against a team currently beneath them in the table is the away trip to bottom club Norwich.
By contrast, they still have to play each of the current top three and four of the current top five, although there is a strong possibility that Liverpool could already be crowned champions by the time they visit the Amex in July. Also, with their subsequent fixture against a Manchester City side likely to be officially out of the title race, Pep Guardiola’s team could be looking towards their FA Cup and Champions League campaigns by then rather than going all-out in the Premier League.
The run-in certainly looks daunting for Brighton but, as hinted by Sporting Index’s predicted final outcome, they currently have one crucial advantage over the other teams battling relegation.
Their goal difference of -8 is by far the best of the bottom eight teams in the league and, with 16th to 18th separated only by that metric in the current standings, goal difference could easily determine a team’s fate when the season finally reaches its conclusion.
Are you confident that Brighton will avoid relegation from the Premier League?
Hopefully it won’t come down to being that tight for the Seagulls in the final reckoning, but it is a sign that every goal could count massively between now and the end of July. Therefore, even if they can escape from games against the likes of Liverpool and Manchester City with narrow defeats, it could make all the difference come the season’s end.
Brighton fans, where do you see the team finishing the season and what are the most crucial fixtures they have left? Join in the discussion in the comments section below!
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