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Leeds United: Nate Silver predicts outcome of Championship promotion race

Leeds United: Nate Silver predicts outcome of Championship promotion race

Leeds United will miss out on the Championship title by one point, according to a prediction from a statistician.

Nate Silver, the founder of FiveThirtyEight, has done his best to forecast the outcome of the race to win the league and has West Bromwich Albion finishing one point clear of the Whites. Both teams have contrasting fixtures coming up, with Marcelo Bielsa’s team facing bottom half clubs Reading and Middlesbrough, while Slaven Bilic’s side come up against fellow promotion rivals Bristol City and Preston North End.

The predictions are a revised version of ESPN’s Soccer Power Index, which is a rating system developed by Silver back in 2009. It’s a method which has been updated to include club data which dates back to 1888.

It proves to be an incredibly baffling prediction as Leeds have the favourable run-in when compared to their automatic promotion rivals. Out of the remaining fixtures against the top seven sides in the division, West Brom have four games, whereas Leeds have just one (BBC via David Watkins).

Furthermore, the Midlands side will have to bounce back from their last-gasp draw against Nottingham Forest last weekend as they conceded an equaliser in stoppage time. However, the Yorkshire outfit are on the up, having enjoyed morale-boosting performances against the likes of Brentford and the Robins, earning four points as they ended a run of just two wins from their previous 11 games (via WhoScored).

While the prediction is fact-based, West Brom are under more pressure in what remains of the Championship season. A mixture of current performances and remaining fixtures shows that the West Yorkshire side seem to be in the driving seat for the title this season.

It will be quite surprising if the Baggies do end up as champions, especially as Leeds possess a far better defence, adding to the list of reasons why they could pip their rivals.

Leeds fans, do you think the club will finish top of the Championship? Let us know your thoughts!

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Article title: Leeds United: Nate Silver predicts outcome of Championship promotion race

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