Aston Villa

The Big 6 Premiership Predictor

 Bolton vs Fulham

Bolton made it three wins in a row in the Premier League with a 3-2 win over Wolves which put them a point clear of the relegation zone

Goals from Martin Petrov, Marcos Alonso, and Kevin Davies gave the Trotters a vital three points

Petrov’s goal was just his second of the season, despite having 48 shots on goal this season with 65% on target

Experienced striker Davies’ goal was his third of the season from 19 shots at goal with 74% on target

Mark Davies covered the most ground for Bolton in their last game with 6.39 miles, the tenth time he has done so for Bolton this season

Nigel Reo-Coker has the dubious honour of being the player to have completed the most passes in his opponent’s half (527) without being a credited an assist this season

Fulham had gone four games without scoring before Client Dempsey and Damien Duff scored to give them a 2-1 victory over Norwich

Dempsey is the league’s hardest working player, having covered more miles this season than anyone else with 185.42 miles

Dempsey has 13 goals this season, having had 116 shots at goal. Only Robin van Persie has had more shots in total than Dempsey this season with 129 shots.

Dempsey’s on target rate is 60%, compared to van Persie’s 63%

While Dempsey has been polific in front of goal, team mate Moussa Dembele has contributed more defensively than any other striker in the league, with 129 contributions across tackles, blocks, clearances and interceptions

Damien Duff has scored just twice in the Premier League this season, having had 28 shots at goal with 54% on target

Fulham’s Aaron Hughes is one of only two players in the EA SPORTS Player Performance Index to have attempted over twenty tackles this season without losing a single one. Hughes has won twenty tackles this season.

Prediction: Bolton may have been brought closer together since the Fabrice Muambe business but Fulham have been consistently playing far superior football all season and given Bolton’s miserable home form this could be a potential whitewash 0-3.

 Chelsea vs Wigan

Fernando Torres first Premier League goal in six months rounded off three points for Chelsea in their last Premier League game

Torres has just three goals in the Premier League this season, having had 47 shots at goal with 53% on target

Torres has averaged a shot at goal every 32 minutes this season, compared to the league’s most frequent shooter Edin Dzeko who has averaged a shot every 19 minutes thirty seconds

Two goals from Branislav Ivanovic and one from Daniel Sturridge made it 4-2 to Chelsea after 90 minutes

Sturridge’s goal was his tenth of the season coming from 69 shots at goal with 54% on target and a shot every 27 minutes
Sturridge has needed seven shots for every goal this season, while Torres has needed 15.67 shots per goal

A shock stat shows Chelsea’s new defender Gary Cahill to be the most lethal finisher in the league. Discounting players who have had fewer than twenty shots at goal this season, Cahill has the best shooting accuracy, having got 85% of twenty shots at goal on target.

He is joined in the top five by midfielder Frank Lampard who is fourth in shooting accuracy having got 76% of 46 shots on target

Wigan are fighting for survival after beating Stoke 2-0 to make it 13 points from their last eight Premier League matches. The same form all season would have seen them on 50 points by now and vying for a Champions League place

Goals from Victor Moses and Antolin Alcaraz gave the Latics a vital three points
Moses has had 68 shots on goal this season, the 12th highest of any player in the EA SPORTS Player Performance4 Index, but returning just four goals. Moses is also third in the EA SPORTS Player Performance Index for dribbles completed with 88

Defender Alcaraz’s goal was his first in the Premier League this season, with the Paraguayan concentrating more on defensive duties having won 78% of tackles and made 59 interceptions this season

Maynor Figueroa continues to lead the EA SPORTS Player Performance Index for tackles won, having won 73 so far this season

Meanwhile James McCarthy has made 25 clearances this season, the second highest number for a midfielder in the EA SPORTS Player Performance Index
Team mate Gary Caldwell has made the joint highest number of blocks this season, with 33.

Prediction: Chelsea appear to be over their ‘blip’ and Wigan appear destined to play Championship football next season. That said, Wigan’s away from has been considerably less shabby than their home form so they might put up a fight. A fight they can’t win, surely… 2-1.

 Liverpool v Aston Villa

Liverpool suffered a 2-0 defeat to Newcastle in their last game
As Liverpool prepare for a tough end to the season and an FA cup semi final, they will be looking to talismanic midfielder Steven Gerrard for inspiration

Discounting players who have had fewer than twenty shots on goal, Gerrard has the second best shooting accuracy in the EA SPORTS Player Performance Index, getting 80% of his 25 shots at goal this season on target

With Adel Taarabt scoring for QPR in their last game Stewart Downing now has the honour of being the player to have had most shots on goal without scoring (57)

Aston Villa honoured captain Stiliyan Petrov by running Chelsea close in their last game

Petrov has contributed more defensively for his team than any other midfielder in the EA SPORTS Player Performance Index, with 235 contributions across tackles, interceptions, blocks and clearances

James Collins and Eric Lichaj scored to level the scores at 2-2 before Fernando Torres and Branislav Ivanovic made it 4-2

Collins’ aerial ability has been put to more use at the other end of the pitch this season, making 71 clearances, the second highest total in the EA SPORTS Player Performance Index

Collins is also joint top of the index for blocks, having made 33 so far this season
Overall, Collins has been the busiest defender in the league so far this season, making 334 defensive contributions across tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions, averaging one every seven minutes thirty seconds

Stephen Warnock is second in the EA SPORTS Player Performance Index for tackles won with 77 won so far this season

Prediction: Kenny Dalglish is a man who’s painted himself into a corner. He spent fortunes on  players who simply weren’t worth a fraction of their price tags and this summer will see him staring at the same faces at Melwood when the window closes. Alex McLeish by contrast would swap a kidney to have that headache… 1-1.

 Norwich v Everton

Norwich lost 2-1 against Fulham in their last game, with Aaron Wilbraham getting on the score sheet for the Canaries

Debutant Ryan Bennett gave the ball away for Fulham’s second goal, although Paul Lambert hailed his overall performance as colossal

Bennett made 22 interceptions in the game and won two thirds of tackles, eight of his twelve attempted overall. He also covered 6.16 miles, the sixth highest in the Norwich team for that game

Making 36 defensive contributions overall in that game gives Bennett the best minutes per defensive contribution rate of any player in the EA SPORTS Player Performance Index with one every 2 minutes 42 seconds

Coming into the final game of the season, Norwich continue to lead the pack for distance covered with 2071 miles covered in total. Yet it is testimony to the Norwich squad that they are top of the squad totals yet have only one player in the individual top thirty – Kyle Naughton with 164.2 miles

Naughton also has the dubious honour of having delivered the most crosses without being credited an assist this season, with 45 crosses delivered

Everton moved above Merseyside rivals Liverpool to 7th place with a 2-0 win against West Brom in their last game

A deflected Leon Osman shot, credited as an own goal by Gareth McAuley, and a goal from Victor Anichebe kept up the momentum as Everton head to an FA cup semi final

Osman has three goals from forty shots at goal with 65% on target
The efficient Anichebe has four goals in the Premier League this season from just seven shots at goal, with a goal every 108 minutes 15 seconds.

That puts Anichebe in the top ten (seventh place overall) for minutes per goal this season

Team mate Apostolos Velios also features in the top ten (sixth overall) for minutes per goal, having hit the net three times averaging a goal every 103 minutes 40 seconds

Only Scott Parker has won more tackles in midfield this season than Everton’s hard working midfielder Marouane Fellaini. Fellaini has won 70 tackles compared to Parker’s 73

Fellaini has made 333 defensive contributions overall across tackles, interceptions, blocks, and clearances, second only to Stiliyan Petrov for midfielders in the EA SPORTS Player Performance Index

Meanwhile team mate Phil Jagielka is third for percentage of tackles won, having won 97% of tackles attempted this season

Prediction: Everton have perked up a little of late and it will be interesting to see what they can do against a Norwich side that has, just like Swansea thoroughly deserved promotion and given the established Prem boys a genuine run for their money… 2-2.

 West Brom v Blackburn

West Brom suffered a 2-0 defeat to Everton in their last game
Blackburn were unlucky on Monday night to concede two late goals to Manchester United

While West Brom have spent most of the season in the bottom half of the league, they are seventh in the EA SPORTS Player Performance Index for overall distance covered with 1978 miles, behind next opponent’s Blackburn who have covered 1981 miles in sixth place

Gareth McAuley is third in the EA SPORTS Player Performance Index for blocks, having made 31 so far this season

West Brom’s Jonas Olsson remains the player to have made the most clearances so far this season with 72

Blackburn have two players in the top five for clearances in the EA SPORTS Player Performance Index. Scott Dann and Christopher Samba are joint third with 70 clearances each.

Meanwhile Morten Gamst Pedersen has made more clearances than any other midfielder in the EA SPORTS Player Performance Index, making 26 in total

Striker David Hoilett has also been supporting his defenders this season, making 107 defensive contributions across tackles, clearances, interceptions and blocks, the second highest for a striker in the league

Prediction: A home win 2-0.

 Stoke v Wolves

Stoke were unlucky to lose 2-0 to Wigan in their last game
Despite being the joint lowest scoring team in the Premier League with just 29 goals this season, Matthew Etherington of Stoke is third in the EA SPORTS Player Performance Index for percentage of shots on target (discounting players who have had fewer than twenty shots at goal), getting 80% of his twenty shots on target

Etherington is also tenth for crosses delivered, having put in 75 crosses this season

Stoke’s Andy Wilkinson is in the EA SPORTS Player Performance Index’s top ten for tackles won, having won 69 tackles so far, an impressive 87% of all those attempted

Meanwhile defensive partner Robert Huth is sixth for blocks, having made 28 so far this season

Wolves are bottom of the table after losing 3-2 to relegation rivals Bolton in their last Premier League game

Goals from Michael Kightly and Matt Jarvis weren’t enough to secure points as Wolves once again struggled defensively

Yet Roger Johnson has contributed 308 defensive duties so far this season across tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions, second only to James Collins of Aston Villa

Jarvis has scored five goals this season from 28 shots at goal with 61% on target
Jarvis is also second in the EA SPORTS Player Performance Index for crosses delivered with 108 so far this season

Kightly’s was his second from just nine attempts at goal

Prediction: Poor old Wolves. I do hope their chairman is pleased with himself. What a tool. Stoke will have a battle on their hands but nothing they shouldn’t be able to cope with… 3-0.

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