Running the rule over the Saturday Premier League action in this week’s column and throwing up a shortlist of potential bets which I may narrow down for my site’s account bets.
Birmingham/West Ham: The best price evens with the layers was my tissue price for Birmingham so if you fancy the home side to do the business then your getting fair odds. The area of concern is a lack of scoring power with the Blues.
Over 11 corners with Skybet @ 8-11 may hold appeal for some as both sides are averaging 12.8 corner counts in their respective home and away matches. In five away matches this season in the League the Hammers have lost the corners supremacy so Birmingham most corners may have it’s merits if a decent price goes on offer.
Blackburn/Wigan: Both sides are flirting with the relegation spots after ten games played. The early money is on Wigan but if there is any value it looks to lie with the away side at 4-1 rather than the home side at odds on.
It could be a tight affair with a lack of goalmouth action and under 2.5 goals is a 4-5 poke. It’s noticeable that 4 from 5 of Blackburn’s home matches have gone under 11.5 corners while only one of Wigan’s away League matches have breached 11.5 corners. Statistically that’s the play.
Blackpool/Everton: Whenever Blackpool play at home you can usually guarantee goals with Ian Holloway refusing to compromise their very open style of play in the Premier League. All four of their home matches in the league have gone over 2.5 goals. 1.86 is currently available for Ladbrokes or try and get matched higher on the exchanges if you fancy the onion bag to take a rattling. The only time Blackpool have gained corner supremacy in the League was against West Bromwich Albion who had two men sent off.
Everton have picked up most corners in 3 away matches from 5. On the match prices Everton are a little tight at a best price 5-6 than my tissue price of 10-11 with the bookies trying to entice punters with the general 4s available on Blackpool.
Bolton/Tottenham: The draw looks a live runner in this match at 12-5 and if you fancy one of the sides to win you may be better playing with the tie on your side in the draw no bet market. In the last four league matches with Bolton at home both teams have scored which rates a 4-5 shot with Totesport.
Fulham/Aston Villa: Aston Villa were always going to find life tougher without Martin O’Neill and their current league position of 13th illustrates a side on the slide when you consider in the last three seasons they always finished in the top 6.
If you have more confidence in them than I do currently then 13-5 to beat Fulham with Victor Chandler rates a fair price. Fulham’s last two league matches have yielded no bookings though the market line is a low 30 @ 4-6 with Extrabet. Arbitrer Peter Walton has a high cards make-up with an average of 52.5 points from six Premier League and Football League matches this season.
Manchester United/Wolves: There is no value in the match prices with United at a best priced 1-4 and Wolves 16s. There is a strange statistic at work at Old Trafford this season where United over the years have had large corner counts.
This season their average totals at home are a meagre 7.4. If you fancy the low trend to continue under 11 corners is around evens.
Sunderland/Stoke: Can’t see this one being first up on Match Of The Day. Nothing much stands out in this match and probably best left alone.
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