The Euro 2012 draw was a success for some sides and bad news for others with the Euro 2012 odds providing an insight into the real winners and losers ahead of the tournament which will be hosted by Poland and Ukraine.
Russia seemed to get the best of the Euro 2012 draw, being drawn in Group A against Poland, Greece and Czech Republic. The bookies responded to the draw by shortening Russia from best odds of 28/1 to as short as 16/1. The winners and runners up from Group A won’t face an easy task in progressing far though as they will take on the runners up and winners respectively from Group B, which has been heralded as the group of death at this tournament. Group B contains Holland, Germany, Portugal and Denmark (who finished above Portugal in qualifying). All four of those teams drifted a little in the betting but the two that qualify from Group B should both be able to win their Quarter Final. That’s good news for backers of second and third favourites in the Euro 2012 betting, Germany and Holland, who are now 5/2 and 7/2 respectively.
European and World champions Spain were drawn in Group C against Italy, Croatia and Republic Of Ireland and the two hot favourites for qualification will be Spain and Italy in that order. The bookies responded to this group by shortening Spain slightly with bookies now only offering 9/4 and 5/2 on the favourites winning Euro 2012. Italy lengthened slightly on the basis that they will probably have to play the winners from Group D and that group contains England, Ukraine, France and Sweden. England and France are hot favourites to qualify from that group although the order isn’t as clear cut as in Group C. Many bookies shortened the odds on England who can now be backed with William Hill at just 7/1 from 11/1. The bookies weren’t sure what to do with France with some bookies shortening their odds and some lengthening them, France are now best odds 16/1.
The teams that finish as runners up in their group may have tougher Quarter Final matches on paper, having to play against group winners, but in the past finishing as runners up in the group hasn’t proved a barrier to success. Four of the last six European Championships winners (Holland, Denmark, France, Greece) finished second in their group before winning the Euros with only Germany and Spain from the last six tournaments winning the group before going all the way so we shouldn’t be put off backing a team even if we think they might finish second in their group.
The bookies make the Euro 2012 golden boot odds wide open ahead of the tournament, Spain’s David Villa and Germany’s Mario Gomez are the current favourites but they are 7/1 and 8/1 respectively and the bookies are clearly unsure what to make of this market. The usual suspects Robin Van Persie, Cristiano Ronaldo and Miroslav Klose are all well fancied but that means four of the five favourites are playing the Group of Death, a group in which it will be difficult to score many goals.
With the teams in Group A likely to get no further than the Quarter Finals we could see the Golden Boot emerge from Group C or D so Spain, France and England players could prove value. Spain’s most likely candidate is David Villa, top scorer at Euro 2008 and joint top scorer at the latest World Cup, whilst England’s favourite is Darren Bent and France’s favourite is Karim Benzema. Click here for more Euro 2012 betting